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Last Update: |
8/19/2011 9:34 |
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Late Blight model for the last week and
forcasted week. |
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Weather conditions have been conducive to Late
Blight in all but the West/Central region |
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of the Valley. |
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NOTE:
The effective current and forecasted dates for the Blanca Station may be
offset from the dates of the other 4 locations. |
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West/Central SLV |
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Date |
Rain-Favorable Days |
Severity |
Warning |
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Consecutive |
In last 7 days |
Unit |
Cumulative |
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PREVIOUS |
8/12/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
No Warnings |
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8/13/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
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8/14/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
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8/15/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
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8/16/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
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8/17/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
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8/18/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
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FORECAST |
8/19/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
No Warnings |
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8/20/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
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8/21/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
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8/22/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
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8/23/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
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8/24/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
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8/25/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
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East SLV |
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Date |
Rain-Favorable Days |
Severity |
Warning |
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Consecutive |
In last 7 days |
Unit |
Cumulative |
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PREVIOUS |
7/25/2011 |
9 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
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7/26/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
Blight Triggered |
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7/27/2011 |
0 |
7 |
3 |
3 |
Alert |
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7/28/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
3 |
Alert |
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7/29/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
3 |
Alert |
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7/30/2011 |
0 |
7 |
4 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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7/31/2011 |
0 |
6 |
2 |
9 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/1/2011 |
1 |
6 |
4 |
13 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/2/2011 |
2 |
6 |
4 |
17 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/3/2011 |
3 |
6 |
3 |
20 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/4/2011 |
4 |
6 |
0 |
20 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/5/2011 |
0 |
5 |
3 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/6/2011 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/7/2011 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/8/2011 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/9/2011 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/10/2011 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/11/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/12/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/13/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/14/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/15/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/16/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/17/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/18/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
Heavy Spray |
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North SLV |
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Date |
Rain-Favorable Days |
Severity |
Warning |
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Consecutive |
In last 7 days |
Unit |
Cumulative |
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PREVIOUS |
7/25/2011 |
9 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
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7/26/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
Blight Triggered |
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7/27/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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7/28/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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7/29/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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7/30/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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7/31/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/1/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/2/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/3/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/4/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/5/2011 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/6/2011 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/7/2011 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/8/2011 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/9/2011 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/10/2011 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/11/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/12/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/13/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/14/2011 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/15/2011 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/16/2011 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/17/2011 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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8/18/2011 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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Carmel SLV |
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Date |
Rain-Favorable Days |
Severity |
Warning |
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Consecutive |
In last 7 days |
Unit |
Cumulative |
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PREVIOUS |
7/25/2011 |
9 |
7 |
3 |
15 |
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7/26/2011 |
0 |
7 |
2 |
17 |
Blight Triggered |
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7/27/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
No Spray |
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7/28/2011 |
0 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
No Spray |
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7/29/2011 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
1 |
No Spray |
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7/30/2011 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
No Spray |
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7/31/2011 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
No Spray |
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8/1/2011 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
No Spray |
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8/2/2011 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
No Spray |
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8/3/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
No Spray |
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8/4/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
No Spray |
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8/5/2011 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
No Spray |
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8/6/2011 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
Alert |
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8/7/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Alert |
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8/8/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Alert |
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8/9/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Alert |
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8/10/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Alert |
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8/11/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Alert |
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8/12/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Alert |
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8/13/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Alert |
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8/14/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Alert |
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8/15/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Alert |
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8/16/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Alert |
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8/17/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Alert |
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8/18/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Alert |
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Blanca SLV |
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Date |
Rain-Favorable Days |
Severity |
Warning |
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Consecutive |
In last 7 days |
Unit |
Cumulative |
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PREVIOUS |
7/11/2011 |
9 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
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7/12/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
Blight Triggered |
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7/13/2011 |
0 |
7 |
2 |
2 |
No Spray |
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7/14/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
No Spray |
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7/15/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
No Spray |
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7/16/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
No Spray |
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7/17/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
No Spray |
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7/18/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
No Spray |
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7/19/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
No Spray |
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7/20/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
No Spray |
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7/21/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
No Spray |
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7/22/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
No Spray |
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7/23/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
No Spray |
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7/24/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
No Spray |
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7/25/2011 |
0 |
7 |
1 |
3 |
Alert |
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7/26/2011 |
0 |
7 |
2 |
5 |
Heavy Spray |
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7/27/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
5 |
Heavy Spray |
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7/28/2011 |
0 |
7 |
3 |
8 |
Heavy Spray |
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7/29/2011 |
0 |
7 |
2 |
10 |
Heavy Spray |
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7/30/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
10 |
Heavy Spray |
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7/31/2011 |
0 |
7 |
2 |
12 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/1/2011 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
12 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/2/2011 |
0 |
7 |
5 |
17 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/3/2011 |
0 |
7 |
3 |
20 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/4/2011 |
0 |
7 |
1 |
21 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/5/2011 |
0 |
7 |
3 |
24 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/6/2011 |
0 |
7 |
2 |
26 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/7/2011 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
26 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/8/2011 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
26 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/9/2011 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
26 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/10/2011 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
26 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/11/2011 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
26 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/12/2011 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
26 |
Heavy Spray |
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FORECAST |
8/13/2011 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
26 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/14/2011 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
26 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/15/2011 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
26 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/16/2011 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
26 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/17/2011 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
26 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/18/2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
Heavy Spray |
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Spray warnings are the result of further
accumulation of rain-favorable days and severity |
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values. |
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Hyre Model: |
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Initial: 10 consecutive rain favorable days |
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Spray: 5 days of 7 are rain favorable days |
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Rain-Favorable: 1.2 in. rain in last 10 days
and temperature below 78 |
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Wallin Model: |
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Initial: Cumulative severity value over 18 |
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Severity Value: Based on hours above 90% RH and
Average Temp |
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