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Last Update: |
8/19/2009 14:44 |
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Late Blight model for the last week and forcasted
week. |
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Weather conditions up to this time have been conducive in the WEST/CENTRAL,
EASTERN, |
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CARMEL, and BLANCA regions of the Valley. |
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NOTE: The
effective current and forecasted dates for the Blanca Station may be offset
from the dates of the other 4 locations. |
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West/Central
SLV |
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Date |
Rain-Favorable Days |
Severity |
Warning |
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Consecutive |
In last 7 days |
Unit |
Cumulative |
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PREVIOUS |
8/6/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
No Spray |
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8/7/2009 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/8/2009 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/9/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/10/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/11/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/12/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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FORECAST |
8/13/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/14/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/15/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/16/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/17/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/18/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/19/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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East SLV |
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Date |
Rain-Favorable Days |
Severity |
Warning |
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Consecutive |
In last 7 days |
Unit |
Cumulative |
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PREVIOUS |
8/13/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/14/2009 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
24 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/15/2009 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
25 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/16/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
25 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/17/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
25 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/18/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
25 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/19/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
25 |
Heavy Spray |
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FORECAST |
8/20/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
25 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/21/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/22/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/23/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/24/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/25/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/26/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
Heavy Spray |
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North SLV |
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Date |
Rain-Favorable Days |
Severity |
Warning |
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Consecutive |
In last 7 days |
Unit |
Cumulative |
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PREVIOUS |
8/13/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
No Warnings |
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8/14/2009 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
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8/15/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
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8/16/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
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8/17/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
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8/18/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
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8/19/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
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FORECAST |
8/20/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
No Warnings |
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8/21/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
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8/22/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
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8/23/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
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8/24/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
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8/25/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
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8/26/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
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Carmel SLV |
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Date |
Rain-Favorable Days |
Severity |
Warning |
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Consecutive |
In last 7 days |
Unit |
Cumulative |
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PREVIOUS |
8/13/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/14/2009 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
37 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/15/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
37 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/16/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
37 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/17/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
37 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/18/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
37 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/19/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
37 |
Heavy Spray |
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FORECAST |
8/20/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
37 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/21/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/22/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/23/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/24/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/25/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/26/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
Heavy Spray |
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Blanca SLV |
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Date |
Rain-Favorable Days |
Severity |
Warning |
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Consecutive |
In last 7 days |
Unit |
Cumulative |
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PREVIOUS |
8/13/2009 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
4 |
Alert |
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8/14/2009 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/15/2009 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/16/2009 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/17/2009 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/18/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/19/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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FORECAST |
8/20/2009 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/21/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/22/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/23/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/24/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/25/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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8/26/2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Heavy Spray |
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Weather conditions have been conducive for Late
Blight at either 18 severity units or 10 |
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consecutive rain-favorable days. |
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Spray
warnings are the result of further accumulation of rain-favorable days and
severity |
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values. |
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Hyre Model: |
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Initial: 10 consecutive rain
favorable days |
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Spray: 5 days of 7 are rain
favorable days |
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Rain-Favorable: 1.2 in. rain in last
10 days and temperature below 78 |
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Wallin Model: |
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Initial: Cumulative severity value
over 18 |
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Severity Value: Based on hours above
90% RH and Average Temp |
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